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Red70
21418.8
138831.0
59943.7
Blue55
415934.0
30136.3
75120.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions955701502007055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#18
43.70.9
39.238.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
34.00.4
32.732.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1388
#10
31.01.6
29.828.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
751
#30
20.70.6
17.817.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2141
#47
8.81.6
19.918.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3013
#44
6.30.6
12.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End