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Red16
525011.1
355411.1
471116.9
Blue116
248920.5
413528.1
359835.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25670408010012014016016116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4711
#29
16.91.3
15.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.2
3598
#33
35.14.6
25.630.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5250
#46
11.11.3
6.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.0
4135
#15
28.12.8
18.721.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3554
#54
11.11.3
9.78.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
2489
#49
20.54.6
16.120.8
Auto
Teleop
End