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Red100
11518.3
276151.8
418513.0
Blue21
525011.1
466924.0
318932.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7854010015020025010021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.81.4
37.639.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.1
3189
#12
32.72.1
30.928.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
115
#51
18.32.1
24.026.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
4669
#37
24.03.1
13.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4185
#36
13.02.1
12.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
5250
#46
11.10.2
11.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End