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Red222
69222.9
167887.2
325030.8
Blue31
30136.3
464316.3
145833.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11743010015020022231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.25.8
74.480.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 53.7
1458
#25
33.51.2
30.929.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3250
#40
30.85.8
18.224.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
4643
#20
16.31.9
16.414.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
692
#22
22.99.7
12.622.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
3013
#44
6.31.9
6.95.0
Auto
Teleop
End