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Red70
128030.4
220420.6
2535.4
Blue32
166236.9
76623.8
11518.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions438201001507032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.41.8
28.630.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
1662
#28
36.93.6
36.432.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2204
#14
20.61.8
12.113.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
766
#31
23.83.6
19.716.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
253
#48
5.41.8
8.19.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.9
115
#51
18.33.6
19.515.8
Auto
Teleop
End