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Red65
471116.9
236713.5
11518.3
Blue172
527416.7
66833.6
145833.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326802040608010012014016065172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#51
18.32.2
15.818.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
668
#9
33.69.1
18.627.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4711
#29
16.92.2
14.016.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
1458
#25
33.55.5
29.735.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2367
#43
13.52.2
8.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
5274
#39
16.79.1
14.023.2
Auto
Teleop
End