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Red145
167162.2
247325.3
471116.9
Blue108
59943.7
84029.8
69222.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9410150150200145108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.22.5
61.864.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
599
#18
43.70.4
45.245.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2473
#13
25.33.9
16.620.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
840
#35
29.80.6
29.930.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4711
#29
16.94.2
16.220.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
692
#22
22.90.6
24.825.4
Auto
Teleop
End