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Red113
318932.7
145833.5
75120.7
Blue40
248920.5
76623.8
255133.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888005010015020025011340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1458
#25
33.51.3
34.736.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2551
#17
33.03.0
34.531.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3189
#12
32.71.3
28.329.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
766
#31
23.83.0
23.921.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
751
#30
20.71.9
24.025.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2489
#49
20.53.0
22.719.7
Auto
Teleop
End