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Red126
167162.2
186825.3
325623.9
Blue135
276151.8
236713.5
214430.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11485050100150200250126135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.8
62.763.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
51.82.3
50.452.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1868
#50
25.31.0
24.525.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
2144
#19
30.62.8
27.330.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3256
#41
23.90.8
22.223.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
2367
#43
13.52.8
12.014.8
Auto
Teleop
End