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Red146
167162.2
69222.9
208549.6
Blue118
128030.4
70136.3
413528.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15083050100200250300146118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.1
63.863.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.9
701
#32
36.30.4
35.836.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49.60.1
51.251.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.2
30.40.5
29.930.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
692
#22
22.90.1
24.524.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
4135
#15
28.10.4
27.628.0
Auto
Teleop
End