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Red118
70138.2
283918.3
182841.2
Blue28
432237.1
237526.8
98021.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998705015020025030011828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.4
40.941.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
4322
#21
37.11.0
38.137.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
701
#5
38.20.4
37.938.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
26.81.0
27.826.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2839
#25
18.30.4
18.018.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
980
#17
21.61.0
22.621.6
Auto
Teleop
End