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Red42
470520.9
265913.6
420130.5
Blue11
242911.1
196729.6
51005.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394701001504211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#10
30.50.2
14.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1967
#19
29.62.8
17.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4705
#11
20.90.2
12.913.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
2429
#33
11.12.8
15.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2659
#12
13.60.2
12.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
5100
#36
5.02.8
12.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End