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Red71
470520.9
416130.5
283918.3
Blue18
265913.6
414020.6
242911.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63370501001502007118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4161
#22
30.51.0
25.226.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
4140
#34
20.61.9
16.714.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4705
#11
20.91.0
17.418.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
2659
#12
13.61.9
13.211.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2839
#25
18.31.0
15.916.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
2429
#33
11.11.9
11.19.2
Auto
Teleop
End