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Red126
167868.7
233925.7
457419.1
Blue16
413910.8
347329.9
329510.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8849010015020012616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.73.7
49.753.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 38.8
3473
#16
29.93.3
33.430.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
25.73.7
21.825.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
4139
#27
10.83.3
11.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4574
#14
19.13.7
10.414.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
3295
#40
10.63.3
10.57.2
Auto
Teleop
End