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Red18
59719.3
347329.9
265913.6
Blue11
414411.2
11607.2
298414.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654601001502002501811

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#16
29.93.7
30.126.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
2984
#39
14.33.2
19.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
597
#13
19.33.7
23.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
4144
#37
11.23.2
14.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2659
#12
13.63.7
9.05.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1160
#24
7.23.2
15.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End