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Red37
414411.2
237526.8
411418.9
Blue15
329510.6
283918.3
51075.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533701001502003715

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.9
23.923.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
2839
#25
18.31.6
14.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4114
#18
18.90.9
19.919.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
3295
#40
10.61.6
13.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4144
#37
11.20.9
6.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
5107
#31
5.71.6
11.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End