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Red50
449926.0
11607.2
98021.6
Blue13
51215.3
470520.9
233925.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576002040801001205013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#15
26.00.4
26.225.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
25.72.3
28.826.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
980
#17
21.60.4
23.723.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
4705
#11
20.92.3
23.120.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1160
#24
7.20.4
7.67.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
5121
#23
5.32.3
7.95.6
Auto
Teleop
End