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Red29
329510.6
441318.3
51215.3
Blue104
237526.8
51005.0
432237.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287405010015020029104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4413
#30
18.30.3
18.618.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.8
4322
#21
37.11.9
37.038.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3295
#40
10.60.3
10.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
26.81.9
26.728.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5121
#23
5.30.3
5.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
5100
#36
5.01.9
3.25.0
Auto
Teleop
End