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Quarterfinal 3-22014 San Diego Regional
Red150
347670.6
153872.7
457412.2
Blue113
233932.4
312836.2
325533.0
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18186050150200250300350150113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#9
72.70.3
76.2→75.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 36.5
3128
#11
36.20.2
35.9→36.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3476
#2
70.60.3
74.2→73.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 37.6
3255
#26
33.00.2
32.8→33.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4574
#43
12.20.3
15.4→15.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 20.2
2339
#22
32.40.2
32.2→32.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—