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Red71
498420.2
396717.6
513720.1
Blue23
298420.2
33418.9
457412.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384201001502007123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4984
#29
20.22.7
14.016.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2984
#44
20.20.9
12.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5137
#23
20.12.7
17.620.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
4574
#43
12.20.9
17.216.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3967
#18
17.62.7
7.310.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
3341
#58
8.91.5
11.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End