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Red16
325533.0
502525.4
302113.8
Blue21
349127.5
210218.2
40786.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575301001502001621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#26
33.03.4
29.426.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
3491
#10
27.52.7
26.123.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5025
#12
25.43.4
15.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
2102
#37
18.22.7
19.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3021
#19
13.83.4
11.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
4078
#35
6.12.7
7.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End