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Red65
40198.9
81252.2
197212.7
Blue131
58932.2
396526.7
312836.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4968010015020065131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
#7
52.21.1
26.827.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
3128
#11
36.25.5
25.631.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1972
#40
12.71.1
15.516.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.6
589
#25
32.25.5
18.023.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4019
#53
8.91.1
9.610.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
3965
#27
26.75.5
21.226.7
Auto
Teleop
End