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Red130
98791.0
332820.7
40786.1
Blue125
395213.8
416014.0
153872.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11782050100150200250300130125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
91.01.5
76.277.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.3
72.73.1
54.757.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3328
#46
20.71.5
30.231.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
4160
#59
14.03.1
21.024.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4078
#35
6.11.5
5.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
3952
#54
13.83.1
12.115.2
Auto
Teleop
End