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Red20
401417.8
374912.6
491912.5
Blue95
413923.6
479216.4
302113.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443501001502095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4014
#28
17.81.9
14.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
4139
#21
23.62.9
13.816.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3749
#57
12.61.9
15.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
4792
#32
16.44.9
14.419.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4919
#47
12.51.9
12.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3021
#19
13.84.9
8.513.3
Auto
Teleop
End