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Red40
332820.7
396526.7
461616.5
Blue80
491912.5
347670.6
219314.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65890501502002503004080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3965
#27
26.72.4
26.724.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 44.0
70.60.4
58.357.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3328
#46
20.72.4
31.729.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
2193
#16
14.70.4
15.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4616
#38
16.52.4
10.58.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
4919
#47
12.50.4
10.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End