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Red7
56822.6
254331.1
33150.8
Blue13
349127.5
401417.8
519918.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77500100150200250713

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#13
31.15.4
35.129.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
3491
#10
27.53.4
23.420.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
568
#20
22.65.4
26.821.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
5199
#17
18.23.4
18.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3315
#55
0.85.4
10.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.0
4014
#28
17.83.4
12.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End