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Red69
40786.1
58932.2
325533.0
Blue75
491912.5
233932.4
519918.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675101001502006975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#26
33.00.4
28.028.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2339
#22
32.41.1
28.329.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
589
#25
32.20.4
27.427.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
5199
#17
18.21.8
14.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4078
#35
6.10.4
9.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
4919
#47
12.51.8
10.412.2
Auto
Teleop
End