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Red10
520917.1
332820.7
513720.1
Blue121
254331.1
312836.2
401417.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6071010015020010121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3328
#46
20.74.3
29.325.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.5
3128
#11
36.24.3
30.735.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5137
#23
20.14.3
19.214.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
2543
#13
31.14.3
29.634.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5209
#45
17.14.3
13.59.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
4014
#28
17.84.3
8.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End