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Red82
157219.1
491912.5
448629.9
Blue52
148221.7
301112.9
325015.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553501001508252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4486
#15
29.92.5
24.026.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
1482
#50
21.71.2
17.218.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1572
#33
19.12.5
15.618.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
3250
#49
15.11.2
13.714.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4919
#47
12.52.5
12.214.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3011
#56
12.91.2
7.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End