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Red13
396526.7
40786.1
519918.2
Blue11
401417.8
33418.9
325015.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515901001502002503003504001311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3965
#27
26.73.3
25.622.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
4014
#28
17.83.9
19.115.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5199
#17
18.27.5
18.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3250
#49
15.13.9
19.916.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4078
#35
6.13.3
12.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
3341
#58
8.93.9
18.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End