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Red71
233932.4
498420.2
364720.1
Blue5
162217.7
332820.7
28275.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66640100200300400715

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2339
#22
32.40.3
27.027.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
3328
#46
20.74.6
30.726.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4984
#29
20.20.4
20.721.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1622
#42
17.74.6
22.718.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3647
#36
20.10.4
18.318.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
2827
#60
5.94.6
11.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End