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Red92
448629.9
325015.1
513720.1
Blue106
197212.7
33050.3
349127.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4983010015020092106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4486
#15
29.92.5
23.826.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.4
330
#6
50.31.9
44.746.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5137
#23
20.12.5
16.318.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
3491
#10
27.51.9
21.723.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3250
#49
15.12.5
14.316.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1972
#40
12.71.9
10.912.8
Auto
Teleop
End