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Qual 122014 Silicon Valley Regional
Red165
502618.6
85238.2
454339.1
Blue156
196731.7
285417.6
19261.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481000150200165156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4543
#19
39.15.5
21.5→27.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 22.0
192
#7
61.13.2
45.1→48.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
852
#32
38.29.1
20.7→29.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.5
1967
#57
31.73.2
31.0→34.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5026
#55
18.65.5
13.8→19.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
2854
#51
17.65.4
15.6→21.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—