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Red127
66841.9
247339.0
75129.7
Blue113
325637.2
476525.3
499037.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87520100150200127113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
#15
41.92.3
32.634.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
3256
#28
37.22.8
27.330.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2473
#11
39.02.3
30.833.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
4990
#12
37.04.6
14.719.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
751
#24
29.72.3
18.220.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
4765
#37
25.34.6
15.219.9
Auto
Teleop
End