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Red121
36883.5
502721.3
517132.3
Blue127
84036.3
138830.5
60450.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119106050150200250300350121127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#16
83.50.2
85.685.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.4
604
#14
50.10.9
45.546.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5171
#36
32.30.4
19.019.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
840
#27
36.30.9
32.433.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5027
#54
21.30.4
12.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
1388
#21
30.50.9
30.231.1
Auto
Teleop
End