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Qual 352014 Silicon Valley Regional
Red56
417117.1
517132.3
304528.4
Blue111
69225.6
128037.2
502721.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5066020408010012014056111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5171
#36
32.30.3
19.4→19.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.9
1280
#8
37.22.4
29.8→32.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3045
#56
28.40.2
22.1→22.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.7
692
#31
25.62.4
21.3→23.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4171
#49
17.10.3
11.2→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.2
5027
#54
21.34.0
12.4→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—