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Red69
10030.2
138830.5
53118.7
Blue146
84128.2
325637.2
502321.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7056010015020069146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
#21
30.50.0
31.031.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
3256
#28
37.24.4
23.928.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
100
#44
30.20.0
23.123.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
841
#45
28.24.9
20.024.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5311
#42
8.75.3
8.714.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
5023
#46
21.80.4
21.821.4
Auto
Teleop
End