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Qual 462014 Silicon Valley Regional
Red151
517132.3
476525.3
170036.5
Blue57
366935.8
84128.2
236719.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6772020408010012014016015157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#26
36.54.2
30.6→34.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
3669
#40
35.80.7
39.4→38.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5171
#36
32.37.0
19.6→26.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.0
841
#45
28.20.7
21.3→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4765
#37
25.37.0
17.1→24.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
2367
#39
19.70.7
10.7→10.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—