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Red151
236719.7
254111.8
138830.5
Blue118
11451.8
490419.9
203557.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17087050100150200250151118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#3
111.80.3
112.7112.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 54.4
57.40.9
43.444.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1388
#21
30.50.3
34.634.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.2
114
#10
51.80.9
43.244.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2367
#39
19.70.3
10.09.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
4904
#47
19.91.5
13.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End