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Red141
53118.7
36883.5
75129.7
Blue32
418610.7
425522.5
517132.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12659010015020025014132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#16
83.51.3
83.885.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 51.2
5171
#36
32.33.1
33.730.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
751
#24
29.71.3
23.424.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
4255
#41
22.53.1
20.317.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5311
#42
8.72.1
8.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
4186
#58
10.73.1
15.512.3
Auto
Teleop
End