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Red235
84036.3
19261.1
254111.8
Blue155
214445.7
502618.6
135130.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232600100150200300350400235155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#3
111.81.5
109.3110.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 66.1
45.73.4
45.048.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
192
#7
61.11.5
59.060.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.1
1351
#18
30.03.4
23.526.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
840
#27
36.31.5
37.338.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.7
5026
#55
18.63.4
18.221.6
Auto
Teleop
End