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Qual 982014 Silicon Valley Regional
Red142
60450.1
11451.8
304528.4
Blue165
325637.2
425522.5
132363.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133111050150200250300142165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#10
51.80.6
53.7→54.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.4
1323
#5
63.22.5
59.7→62.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
604
#14
50.10.6
48.1→48.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.9
3256
#28
37.22.5
35.5→38.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3045
#56
28.40.6
27.7→28.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.9
4255
#41
22.53.1
19.4→22.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—