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Red310
254113.8
1678106.6
97341.5
Blue270
84685.3
213535.4
97190.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26920250100150250300350400450310270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#5
113.80.9
112.7113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.9
971
#3
90.91.0
91.192.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
106.60.9
105.6106.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.3
846
#2
85.31.0
85.586.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
973
#26
41.50.9
40.441.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
2135
#21
35.41.0
35.636.5
Auto
Teleop
End