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Red150
97190.9
513633.1
97341.5
Blue246
132345.7
248586.2
254113.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1472830100200400150246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#3
90.90.9
83.382.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.9
254
#5
113.80.8
110.3109.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
973
#26
41.50.9
48.847.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 44.7
2485
#13
86.20.8
93.792.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
33.10.9
35.935.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
1323
#15
45.70.8
58.557.7
Auto
Teleop
End