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Red118
198353.4
84123.2
131870.1
Blue135
348221.2
11447.7
132345.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162124050100200250300350118135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#23
70.11.9
66.364.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.4
114
#14
47.70.3
45.745.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1983
#20
53.41.9
56.955.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
1323
#15
45.70.3
57.758.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
841
#29
23.21.9
32.530.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3482
#19
21.20.3
26.126.3
Auto
Teleop
End