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Red67
60435.5
19241.7
39959.0
Blue204
198353.4
254113.8
292839.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143220010030040050067204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#22
59.04.4
66.662.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 54.8
254
#5
113.80.2
105.7105.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
192
#33
41.74.4
50.446.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
1983
#20
53.40.2
55.054.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
604
#28
35.54.4
38.133.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
2928
#17
39.60.2
47.847.6
Auto
Teleop
End