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Red165
11447.7
347665.3
207337.3
Blue114
60435.5
254113.8
76626.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471670100200300400500600165114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#11
65.30.7
68.969.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 48.5
254
#5
113.82.5
105.5103.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
114
#14
47.70.7
46.146.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
604
#28
35.52.5
33.731.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
37.30.7
35.436.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
766
#32
26.62.5
24.922.4
Auto
Teleop
End