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Red190
207337.3
254113.8
68712.7
Blue107
213535.4
97190.9
84123.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156120050100200250300190107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#5
113.82.0
103.0105.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.9
971
#3
90.90.9
78.477.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.32.0
36.138.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
2135
#21
35.40.9
18.617.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
687
#25
12.72.0
11.213.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
841
#29
23.20.9
28.727.8
Auto
Teleop
End