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Red225
14865.6
97190.9
68712.7
Blue126
818.1
76626.6
131870.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17086050150200250300350225126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#3
90.93.4
77.580.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.8
1318
#23
70.11.4
60.361.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
#7
65.63.4
66.369.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 39.0
766
#32
26.61.4
20.722.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
687
#25
12.73.4
13.216.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
8
#34
18.11.4
17.518.9
Auto
Teleop
End