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Red54
415917.2
513633.1
207337.3
Blue81
69659.5
68712.7
348221.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102910501502005481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.32.3
41.839.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.2
696
#8
59.50.6
56.856.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33.12.3
36.033.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
3482
#19
21.20.6
19.619.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4159
#30
17.22.3
22.820.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
687
#25
12.70.6
16.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End